(Tia dives into the
stock market mechanics of the world prior to a
historic economic turning point. The introduction of the
Euro was taking place at the time and its possible
effects on the economies of the world was a
subject Tia had researched and knew a bit about.)
Tia:
okay, let us look at my
favorite subject, the
stock market. Again,
another new high today,
up 150 points.
Russ:
was it?
Tia:
uh-huh.
Russ:
it was down three when I
saw it.
Tia:
ahhh, well news from Greenspan contributed
to the increase as well
as the better than
expected profits from
various companies this
quarter. What's
happening is
much as I predicted
right?
Russ:
uh-huh.
Tia:
the very, very rapid
growth rate. This
has contributed to the
better-than-expected
earnings,
Greenspan's
report on the state of
the economy and his
saying that eventually
the interest rate will
have to go up but at the
moment there is no
inflation which is a
lie, there is inflation
but it's only a little
inflation. I see from
this overconfidence.
Where does the market go
from where it is at the
moment? There's only one
place for it to go which
is?
Russ:
up.
Tia:
exactly. There will be
little downturns which
are basically
profit-taking so if it
loses 1.5% of its
profit, that's nothing.
Russ:
just a drop of 80 points?
Tia:
80 points, 150, that's
nothing, that's peanuts. So
there's nothing much to watch
out for at this time apart
from the continuing increase
in the price of shares which
in my opinion are very much
overly priced. After all, from
1994 to today, it's gone from
3,000 to 8,000 which is a jump
of 5,000 points. Very, very
strange, very strange,
shouldn't be doing that. And
the fact that it took
approximately 50 years to get
to 3,000 and then a sudden
increase as it has at present
is quite concerning and there
are people out there that are
expressing their concerns. But
let us not dwell on the stock
market as that could take up
too much time. Any questions?
Russ: with the so far as
they've been noticing the
strength of the dollar's
growing?
Tia: it is?
Russ: supposedly.
Tia: in comparison to what,
the yen?
Russ: well as a comparison
from what it was a while ago.
Tia: uh-huh.
Russ: and with that it's
making our trade deficit
wider.
Tia: uh-huh.
Russ: now how do you see that
as affecting the basic economy
from that point?
Tia: well it's going to be
more reliant on internal
facts. The fact that the
dollar can buy more now
against most currencies means
that importing American items
let us say to Germany, means
that it becomes more expensive
whereas if Germany is
exporting to the United
States, their products become
cheaper and so therefore it
benefits the German economy.
However, if you look
externally at European
markets, the question is why
have they become shaky
currencies? But it's primarily
to do, if you look at the
euro......let me readdress
this matter a little. The euro
is a new currency that will be
coming into effect soon. The
attitude of some governments
is to let it decrease or their
currencies decrease in value
so that their populations are
used to a different currency.
When it comes, it's looked
upon as a relief, "oh a new
currency, our standards of
living will go up." The euro,
having started off on bad
legs, will become a shaky
currency like the Mexican lire
or is it peso in Mexico?
Russ: peso.
Tia: the Mexican peso or the
lire that are dodgy
currencies. Not very strong
and you can have a 1,000
pesos, which is worth how much
Russ?
Russ: a 1,000 pesos is
approximately $150.00.
Tia: exactly, not very much at
all. So that you have this
shaky currency in an
industrial area such as
Europe, now what does that do?
Russ: well it's going to
destabilize the economies of
those countries using it.
Tia: correct.
Russ: but now is the euro some
kind of common......
Tia: currency.
Russ: currency that they've
been working on for years?
Tia: correct.
Russ: so it's going to be
valid in what countries?
Tia: it's going to be valid in
Greece, Italy, Belgium,
Netherlands, Luxembourg,
United Kingdom, Ireland,
France, Spain, Sicily, Turkey.
Russ: Greece?
Tia: Greece.
Russ: Russia?
Tia: no.
Russ: or are they going to
hold with the ruble?
Tia: Russia is not part of the
EEC. It's all EEC countries
that will be having one
currency.
Russ: so it's everything but
Russia.
Tia: no Poland's not a member
of the EEC, not yet.
Russ: I thought they got, they
were looking for admission?
Tia: yeah, they are.
Russ: they haven't been
approved yet?
Tia: not yet. They're pretty
close to being approved. You
see what's happening is that
by creating this one currency,
you're destabilizing the
economies.
Russ: well isn't this the
sign, one of the signs of the
apocalypse?
Tia: could be. Not by my
predictions though.
Russ: from the Bible.
Tia: not from my
predictions........from the
Bible?
Russ: uh-huh.
Tia: yours or mine?
Russ: ours.
Tia: oh yours? I haven't read
yours.
Russ: yeah, it's one of the,
apparently one of the signs.
Tia: okay, my dissertation's
over, do you have any
questions for me young lady?
Ann: no, not right now.
Tia: okay,
actually.......nevermind.
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