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TIA




A RUSSIAN LEADERSHIP TRANSITION


 
(Tia shows how our future is our present as the channeling talked about the dangers facing any transition from Boris Yeltsin and it would turn out to be the rise of Vladimir Putin. This time channeling is made more exciting as she was getting reports on her headset of pitched fighting taking place near Chechnya so the session ends on that note.) 




Russ: hi Tia.

(Tia says hi in Durondedunn)

Skip: how you doing love?

Tia: yo.

Skip: yo.

Tia: I’m doing good.

Skip: good.

Tia: I know what I need.

Russ: market took a crunch today.

Tia: sorry?

Russ: market took a crunch today.

Tia: what happened to it?

Russ: stock market?

Tia: oh market, you have to enunciate.

Russ: oh sorry, yeah stock market just…..

Tia: uh-huh.

Russ: my imaginary stocks that I’ve got, a hundred thousand dollars worth I lost probably a $1,000.00 maybe?

Skip: oh really?

Russ: uh-huh.

Tia: uh-huh, it wasn’t too bad actually, I don’t think it was too bad at all. Okay, let us look at some goings-on in the markets……not the market, the world and I’ve got to be quick because we only have a limited length of time.

Russ: oh yeah, a little under 10 minutes.

Tia: uh-huh. Okay, let us look at Russia. Russia, what can I say about Russia? What can’t I say about Russia? I could say a lot of things about Russia, none of them positive. Boris Yeltsin, our resident alcoholic president and his changing in mind and the upcoming elections. Okay this is what I see happening, trouble, big trouble. The economy appears to be stable, I say appears to be and for the casual observer it is stable. But, if you look at the markets and I’m not talking about the financial markets, I’m talking about general markets, the prices of food, the prices of commodity, the prices of heating oil, oh dear. The quote, "the ruble don’t buy what it used to buy and there isn’t enough of it". The markets in Russia are in turmoil, the prices are staggering. The lack of action by the government is aggravating to the situation. Not because pumping money into the economy would work, what would that do? That would increase inflation, print more money for money that you don’t have. You do that, you’re asking for inflationary problems and the ruble definitely won’t buy what it used to buy, in fact it will buy a lot less of what it used to buy. Devaluing the ruble did not fix the problems. You remember we talked about the devaluation of the ruble and I said it was a temporary fix that wouldn’t last very long?

Russ: right.

Skip: uh-huh.

Tia: well it hasn’t lasted very long. I mentioned the winter, I hate to think of how many people died in Russia this last winter and it was a mild winter, mild for Russia. If it had been a harsh winter oh dear, if it is a harsh winter this year, oh dear. The last time that there was a major harsh winter followed or pre-cursed by financial unrest, financial difficulties, food problems, food production problems, guess what happened?

Skip: huh?

Tia: I'll give you a clue, it happened in November and it happened just over 80 years ago.

Skip: eight years ago.

Tia: 80.

Russ: is that when the Soviets took over?

Skip: '91?

Russ: the communists?

Tia: Russ is right, it was the communists. 1917 November. Harsh, harsh…..

Skip: oh 80 years ago.

Tia: yeah 80.

Skip: I’m sorry.

Tia: 82 to be precise. Very harsh winter in the middle of a war.

Skip: it was right at the end of the war wasn't it darling?

Tia: another year to go, another year to go in the first world war.

Skip: oh no, that’s 1812 to 1814 wasn’t it?

Russ: 1815 or 1817 to 1819?

Tia: you’re both wrong, Russ is closer but he’s off by a 100 years.

Russ: oh….

Tia: 1914 to 1918.

Skip: oh yeah, first world war okay.

Tia: okay, okay.

Skip: I’m sorry.

Tia: that’s all right.

Skip: 100 years too early.

Tia: uh-huh, 100 years too early but that started the revolution. Financial crisis followed by massive corruption followed by…..

Skip: Socialism.

Tia: well actually food problems, the ruble wasn’t buying what the ruble used to buy, people starving, civil unrest and what does that sound like?

Skip: isn’t that the beginning of communism per se?

Tia: uh-huh, that’s when it started but what does that whole entire scenario sound like?

Russ: sounds like now.......well sounds like with Yeltsin firing his prime minister and the cabinet and trying to get this new guy in there….

Skip: sounds like this country.

Russ: I don’t think the Duma is going to agree to this new guy.

Tia: well they agreed to the last one three months ago in May.

Russ: they had to.

Skip: do they have any choice other than the revolution?

Tia: yes there is a choice and it is kind of a revolution but it’s not really a revolution, it’s what you would call a bloodless palace coup.

Skip: yeah, okay.

Tia: and that’s basically you get as many people on your side as possible, turn around to the president and say, “you got two choices, either you leave or we impeach you”.

Russ: yeah, lack of confidence in the Senate. Well Nixon went through the same thing and had to resign.

Tia: uh-huh. Clinton went through the same thing but somehow he survived.

Russ: he had enough support on one side to get through it but.....

Tia: uh-huh we won’t go there because I could go on about that for a long time.

Russ: right.

Tia: okay now Russia, remember what was said about the Asian flu?

Russ: yeah, it started in Japan but it spread to Russia.......

Tia: uh-huh.

Russ: and everyone else in the whole entire section.

Tia: okay and it’s also spread to South America but it’s not as bad, I believe it was stated that it appears to be petering out. But, Russia is in a very precarious position. If they have a bloodless palace coup and they succeed and Yeltsin is ousted out, then the situation will temporarily be relieved. They will give the new government an opportunity to prove itself however, with the corruption that already exists, this is just a rest period, just a respite. It all pivots on one thing, weather.

Russ: doesn’t Russia have huge natural resources in its eastern section it could sell and make up the lost revenue from the reforms?

Tia: you mean the oilfields?

Russ: the oilfields, the natural gas, all those reserves they have in the eastern section near Siberia.

Tia: doesn’t belong to them anymore.

Russ: oh crap that’s right, broke up their country.

Tia: uh-huh, that’s another thing that is irking the Russians.

Russ: that’s right, I remember that.

Tia: uh-huh.

Skip: yeah they totally broke up their country.

Tia: uh-huh, they’re all independent nations.

Russ: and they’re going to blame the current president for any kind of problems that happen because of that.

Skip: yeah.

Tia: because he didn't actually do it did he?

Russ: no, Gorbachev did.

Tia: uh-huh.

Russ: but Yeltsin was Gorbachev’s hand-picked successor.

Skip: he got caught in the current.

Tia: uh-huh, oops.

Russ: yeah, and Gennady........whatever it is....the communist leader in the Duma, isn't very popular as far as becoming president but given enough circumstances he could bring back the communist rule.

Skip: yes he could, real quick.

Tia: uh-huh, very quickly and all the other countries around them, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, all those countries aren't very strong militarily wise.

Russ: no, a strong military leader could take over those countries........

Skip: they could go right back to being USSR.

Russ: sure.

Tia: uh-huh so easily and it would be a very popular move with the people.

Russ: oh yes.

Skip: oh yes it would be.

Tia: because the majority have known nothing but communist rule.

Russ: right, people would volunteer for the army at that point.

Tia: uh-huh.

Skip: heck yeah.

Russ: just to go in and take over another country and take the spoils.

Tia: exactly.

Skip: huh.

Tia: so you see the dangers of the palace coup?

Russ: teetering on the edge.

Tia: that would be what they would be forced to do.

Russ: that’s why the World Bank gave them a new loan…..

Tia: uh-huh.

Russ: just this last month.

Tia: uh-huh, do you want to know something?

Russ: huh?

Tia: it’s happening, it started.

Skip: I can believe it, I can believe it.

Tia: there is fighting going on right now, right in the southern part of Russia with the province right next door to Chechnya, they’re attacking even as we talk. There is a pitched battle going on right now.

Russ: uh-huh.

Skip: in other words, they could become the second major power in the world again.

Tia: again, uh-huh but they’ll never be as strong as they were.

Skip: no.

Tia: but they is a battle going on......

(The tape runs out at that point)