(Tia describes the
working of the stock market in its simplest
terms as we explore what happens to an
investment once it is made. The explanation
covers the loss of money that can occur when a
company goes under.)
Tia:
so, okay, where do I
start?
Skip: I don’t know,
where do you want to
start tonight?
Tia: where do you
think I should start
Russ?
Russ: well I think you
should start with our
weird stock market
lately.
Tia: yes, yes, yes,
weird stock market
hmmm, why is it doing
what it’s doing? Well
it’s fluctuating up
and down, up and down.
Now first of all point
of interest, there has
never been a crash in
the summer or the
spring, it always
happens in the fall or
early winter. To look
at why your stock
market is doing what
it’s doing is to look
at external
influences. For
example, let us look
in Asia. Well the
Japanese market is
doing some very
interesting things.
The actual one that’s
doing some very weird
dropping is the Hang
Seng in Hong Kong. I
seem to remember at
the start of the year
it was at around
10,000. At the moment
it is in the mid
7,000's. That is
approximately a
quarter of its value,
25%, history,
gone....poof. Of
course it was also
highly overvalued as
well. The Japanese
market is also doing
some wild
fluctuations. They’re
trying to enact
certain fiscal
problems……..enact
certain fiscal
policies to counter
fiscal problems which
can be traced right
back to the mid to
late '80s when they
went through their
phase of buying
everything, everything
and anything. Now
looking at those two
markets you can see a
certain effect
occurring because as
you track across the
globe from where the
Asian flu……..let’s
call it the Asian flu
as that seems to be a
good catchphrase and
one that I heard the
other day………the Asian
flu starts in Asia, it
is now affecting the
European markets and
from time to time your
market. Now if a
market can lose 25% of
its value in less than
seven months, what
does that hold for
your market that is
already lost……well
actually it gained
back some of its
loss………it had lost 10%
of its value, it’s now
9%? It’s only 15% to
go……well 16% to go
until it has lost a
quarter of its value
or a quarter of what
it has made which
would be about 2,500
points. It’s already
lost at one point 800
points on its value.
So what is going on?
Well, there is
numerous factors
contributing to this
problem, not least is
wild spending.
Investing in other
countries where the
currencies are shaky.
Now, the ruble in
Russia has been
devalued, symptom of
the Asian flu. The
fact that investors
rushed into the
Soviet……the former
Soviet Union after
there was problems in
Asia and pulled out
and they helped to
depress the markets in
Asia. In turn, they’re
now depressing the
markets in Eastern
Europe. It’s only a
matter of time before
they start to pull out
of markets in Europe.
Once this happens
there is only one
market left or one
major, major market
left that the
investors have left
go. My opinion is that
the market will climb
again. It won’t get up
to 9,300 mark where it
held its record but it
will climb again until
late in the autumn or
the fall. Then is the
time to watch, people
are already talking
about that the bull
market is turning to a
bear market, these
rumors are spreading.
Now, if there is signs
of inflation, the
Federal Reserve will
increase the interest
rate which will help
to depress the market
further. Okay, that’s
the market, that’s
what's happening from
Wall Street to Hades
Base. Okay, we got
questions.
Russ: yeah, as far as
the market's
concerned….
Tia: uh-huh.
Russ: if I put in a
thousand dollars in
the market, the market
drops by a point I
lose my thousand
dollars, where does
the thousand dollars
go?
Tia: disappears.
Russ: what do you mean
it disappears? How
does it disappear,
where does it go to?
Somebody’s got a
thousand dollars
right?
Tia: no, it’s like if
you buy a car……let’s
say you buy a car
that’s worth a
thousand dollars.
Russ: uh-huh.
Tia: right? And
depreciation of that
car is one dollar a
day right? In a
thousand days that
means that that car is
worth nothing. Where
did your thousand
dollars go?
Russ: well it went to
whoever wants to buy
it for a thousand
dollars.
Tia: uh-huh.
Russ: if I can’t find
anybody who wants to
buy it for a thousand
dollars, then I can’t
quite sell it.
Tia: that’s correct,
you can’t turn around
and sell it.
Russ: but I still hold
onto that car, the car
is still there.
Tia: uh-huh.
Russ: but if my stock
drops off the map…..
Tia: you still have
the piece of paper.
Russ: so the stock
comes back up again?
Tia: uh-huh.
Russ: then it’s worth
something.
Tia: correct, unless
of course the company
that owns that stock
ceases to be. Next
question........anyone?
Russ: I’m still trying
to grasp the concept
of stocks and losing
money like that.
Skip: well you’re
invested into a
company and what you
get in return for your
investment is a piece
of paper that says you
invested so much
money.
Russ: yeah the
company’s getting my
money.
Skip: do what?
Russ: did the company
get my money?
Skip: no, well yeah
they do…..
Tia: uh-huh.
Skip: they do, yeah
you’re correct……..
Tia: yes they do.
Skip: they do get your
money but what happens
if…..let me see if I
can give you a for
example. Say I’m in
business and I set up
a stock exchange
invested into my
business.
Russ: uh-huh.
Skip: I get a hundred
people to invest a
thousand dollars,
that’s $100,000.
Russ: uh-huh.
Skip: my business goes
to the point of where
it’s costing me more
to operate it than I'm
making profit out of
it. My business goes
belly up and I go
bankrupt, the people
lose all their money.
They got the piece of
paper but they still
lose all their money.
Russ: yeah, so the
money does go
somewhere, it goes to
the business.
Tia: uh-huh.
Skip: yeah.
Russ: oh that’s okay.
Skip: yeah but if the
business does not
profit then you do not
see any return on your
money.
Russ: uh-huh.
Tia: you’ve got to
remember that running
costs and everything
have to be taken out.
Russ: oh.
Tia: okay?
Russ: okay.
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